Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.