Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.