Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
