Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
36% | 27.41% | 36.59% |
Both teams to score 49.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.01% | 55.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.92% | 77.08% |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.26% | 29.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.2% | 65.8% |
Vissel Kobe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% | 29.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% | 65.36% |
Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.42% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.59% |
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