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J1 League | Gameweek 38
Dec 4, 2021 at 5am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
0 - 2
Vissel Kobe


Nakano (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osako (71'), Tanaka (90+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Vissel Kobe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawVissel Kobe
36%27.41%36.59%
Both teams to score 49.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.01%55.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.92%77.08%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26%29.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2%65.8%
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63%29.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64%65.36%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 36%
    Vissel Kobe 36.59%
    Draw 27.4%
Sagan TosuDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 10.7%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.59%

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