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J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 1, 2021 at 8am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
2 - 0
Tokushima Vortis

Yamashita (55'), Sento (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Tokushima Vortis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawTokushima Vortis
41.59%26.82%31.59%
Both teams to score 50.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62%54.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24%75.76%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21%25.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26%60.74%
Tokushima Vortis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18%31.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74%68.26%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 41.58%
    Tokushima Vortis 31.59%
    Draw 26.82%
Sagan TosuDrawTokushima Vortis
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.58%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.4%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.59%

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