Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.
