Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
