Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
