Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.