Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
-0.36) 
0.38) 
