Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 73.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 3-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.04) 
