Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.08) 
