Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
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