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J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 at 11am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
YF

Albirex Niigata
3 - 1
Yokohama

Suzuki (51'), Taniguchi (53'), Okumura (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Watanabe (25')
Matsubara (63')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Yokohama F Marinos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-4 Urawa
Saturday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Al-Ain
Saturday, May 11 at 11am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawYokohama F Marinos
37.3% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05) 23.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 38.82% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.92% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (0.016999999999996 0.02)62.65% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)21.68% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.17% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.82% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (0.034999999999997 0.03)20.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)53.67% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 37.3%
    Yokohama F Marinos 38.82%
    Draw 23.88%
Albirex NiigataDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.3%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.42% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 38.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-4 Urawa
Saturday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-2 Albirex Niigata
Monday, May 6 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Hiroshima
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Al-Ain
Saturday, May 11 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Yokohama
Monday, May 6 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, April 27 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 3-2 Ulsan (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 24 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Ulsan 1-0 Yokohama
Wednesday, April 17 at 11am in AFC Champions League


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