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J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 at 11am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)

Machida Zelvia
2 - 1
Cerezo

Oh (70'), Duke (90+3')
Hayashi (27'), Sento (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ceara (84' pen.)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-4 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawCerezo Osaka
32.81%27.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 39.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.16% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)56.38% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)77.4% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)32.01% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)68.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)27.71% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)63.27% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 32.8%
    Cerezo Osaka 39.78%
    Draw 27.41%
Machida ZelviaDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.8%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 7.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Machida Zelvia
Monday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 2-0 Reysol
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-4 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Cerezo
Monday, May 6 at 5.05am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 Consadole
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, April 27 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Cerezo
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League


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