Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
48.5% ( -1.02)	23.22% ( -0.06)	28.27% ( 1.08)

Both teams to score 60.62% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.57% (

1.08)

40.43% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.19% (

1.1)

62.81% (

-1.1)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.09% (

0.02)

16.9% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.05% (

0.05)

46.95% (

-0.05)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

1.32)

27.04% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.59% (

1.7)

62.4% (

-1.7)

Score Analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 48.5%

Kashiwa Reysol 28.27%

Draw 23.22%

Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.16% Total : 48.5%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.27%