Both teams are having to deal with quick turnarounds, something which may add a bit of unpredictability about this contest. Nevertheless, we have to back PSV to come through, but not by the margin that many may have predicted before the weekend's results.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
