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KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals
Mar 2, 2022 at 7pm UK
Adelaarshorst
P

Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 2
PSV

Cordoba (36')
Oratmangoen (29')
Kramer (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zahavi (43'), Veerman (68')

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 PSV Eindhoven

Both teams are having to deal with quick turnarounds, something which may add a bit of unpredictability about this contest. Nevertheless, we have to back PSV to come through, but not by the margin that many may have predicted before the weekend's results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawPSV Eindhoven
16.77%20.29%62.93%
Both teams to score 54.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72%63.28%
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35%37.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57%74.42%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6%12.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.72%38.28%
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 16.77%
    PSV Eindhoven 62.93%
    Draw 20.29%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 4.65%
1-0 @ 4.56%
2-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.58%
3-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.77%
1-1 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.29%
0-2 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.74%
0-3 @ 7.08%
1-3 @ 6.92%
0-4 @ 3.69%
1-4 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 3.38%
2-4 @ 1.76%
0-5 @ 1.54%
1-5 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 62.93%

Read more!
Read more!


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