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KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Mar 2, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
AD

PSV
3 - 1
ADO Den Haag

Bakayoko (12'), Til (21'), Sangare (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sellouki (56')
Asante (15')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 3-1 FC Twente
Sunday, February 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Den Bosch 0-0 ADO Den Haag
Sunday, February 26 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag

With Den Haag failing to register a victory over PSV Eindhoven since February 2011, which incidentally came at the Philips Stadion, we predict that the defending KNVB Beker champions will continue their recent unrivalled head-to-head record on Thursday evening and subsequently confirm their place in the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 11.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawADO Den Haag
71.25% (-5.109 -5.11) 16.77% (2.693 2.69) 11.98% (2.4171 2.42)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-1.821 -1.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.07% (-6.436 -6.44)34.93% (6.438 6.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.09% (-7.556 -7.56)56.91% (7.559 7.56)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (-2.517 -2.52)8.66% (2.519 2.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (-6.568 -6.57)29.85% (6.57 6.57)
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.53% (-0.342 -0.34)40.48% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92% (-0.309 -0.31)77.08% (0.30999999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 71.24%
    ADO Den Haag 11.98%
    Draw 16.77%
PSV EindhovenDrawADO Den Haag
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.887 0.89)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.728 0.73)
1-0 @ 8.58% (1.698 1.7)
3-0 @ 8.55% (-0.368 -0.37)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.409 -0.41)
4-0 @ 5.23% (-0.991 -0.99)
4-1 @ 4.73% (-0.95 -0.95)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.22 -0.22)
5-0 @ 2.56% (-0.913 -0.91)
5-1 @ 2.32% (-0.856 -0.86)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.454 -0.45)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.4 -0.4)
6-0 @ 1.04% (-0.571 -0.57)
6-1 @ 0.94% (-0.53 -0.53)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 71.24%
1-1 @ 7.76% (1.477 1.48)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.292 0.29)
0-0 @ 3.51% (1.04 1.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.77%
1-2 @ 3.51% (0.642 0.64)
0-1 @ 3.17% (0.92 0.92)
0-2 @ 1.43% (0.407 0.41)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 11.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSV 3-1 FC Twente
Sunday, February 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Sevilla
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Utrecht 2-2 PSV
Sunday, February 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 PSV
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: PSV 6-0 Groningen
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-1 Emmen
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Den Bosch 0-0 ADO Den Haag
Sunday, February 26 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Friday, February 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-2 ADO Den Haag
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 NAC Breda
Friday, February 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 0-0 ADO Den Haag
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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