SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | NAC Breda |
55.8% ( -0.34) | 22.46% ( 0.17) | 21.74% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.84% ( -0.56) | 43.16% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.44% ( -0.56) | 65.56% ( 0.56) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( -0.3) | 15.32% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.93% ( -0.58) | 44.07% ( 0.59) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0.16) | 33.73% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( -0.17) | 70.38% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 55.8% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 21.74% |
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