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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
31.57% ( -0.57) | 25.29% ( -0.06) | 43.13% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( 0.08) | 48.06% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( 0.08) | 70.23% ( -0.08) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -0.33) | 28.65% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% ( -0.41) | 64.47% ( 0.41) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( 0.33) | 22.23% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.33% ( 0.5) | 55.66% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.13% |
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