SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
36.86% ( -0.15) | 24.49% ( 0.02) | 38.66% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% ( -0.11) | 43.26% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.34% ( -0.11) | 65.66% ( 0.11) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( -0.13) | 23.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( -0.19) | 57.17% ( 0.19) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( 0.02) | 22.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.2% ( 0.03) | 55.8% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.86% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.66% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
