On the back of the frustration from the weekend, there will be a determination within the PSV squad to put things right. With that in mind, we expect a dominant win for the home side, one which is much needed with regards to the context of their season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
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