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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
25.33% ( -0.28) | 22.99% ( 0.09) | 51.67% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.27% ( -0.65) | 41.73% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.87% ( -0.66) | 64.13% ( 0.66) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.56) | 29.87% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( -0.69) | 65.96% ( 0.68) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% ( -0.17) | 16.23% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.26% ( -0.31) | 45.74% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.67% |
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