Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for AFC had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest AFC win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	AFC
54.07% ( -0.23)	21.62% ( 0.03)	24.31% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 62.52% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.76% (

0.1)

36.24% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.64% (

0.11)

58.36% (

-0.1)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.49% (

-0.03)

13.51% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.44% (

-0.07)

40.56% (

0.08)

AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

0.21)

27.71% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

0.27)

63.27% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 54.07%

AFC 24.31%

Draw 21.62%

Vitesse	Draw	AFC
2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.83% Total : 54.07%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.62%	1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 24.31%