SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
51.6% ( -0.12) | 23% ( 0.07) | 25.41% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% ( -0.24) | 41.67% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.93% ( -0.24) | 64.08% ( 0.25) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( -0.13) | 16.24% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.25% ( -0.24) | 45.76% ( 0.24) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( -0.08) | 29.79% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( -0.1) | 65.86% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.41% |
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