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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Vitesse |
34.62% ( 3.27) | 24.78% ( 1.62) | 40.6% ( -4.88) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( -4.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% ( -6.58) | 44.9% ( 6.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% ( -6.65) | 67.26% ( 6.66) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( -1.22) | 25.25% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( -1.72) | 60% ( 1.73) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( -4.84) | 22.08% ( 4.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.56% ( -7.89) | 55.44% ( 7.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 1.77)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 1.07)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.62% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 1.21) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.49)0-0 @ 5.58% ( 1.44)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.42)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 1.14)0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.94)0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.55)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.78)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.69)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.44)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.53)Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.6% |
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