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A
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
V

Ajax
5 - 0
Vitesse

Hato (3'), Hlynsson (12'), Oroz (50' og.), Akpom (58'), Taylor (67')
Bergwijn (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cornelisse (90+1'), Domgjoni (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-2 Vitesse

Vitesse have won four times here in the last 11 years and got a 2-2 draw last season in this fixture, so despite their early woes, they will feel it is a great opportunity to claim another big scalp. However, Ajax's two home league wins under Van 't Schip means it is likely they will be able to come through this fixture with a win, even if it is likely to be closer than they would hope. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 3-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawVitesse
61.6% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 19.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 19.15% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.49% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.39% (0.073999999999998 0.07)31.61% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.89% (0.085999999999999 0.09)53.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90% (0.01100000000001 0.01)9.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.99% (0.025999999999996 0.03)33% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (0.084000000000003 0.08)29.45% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.102 0.1)65.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 61.6%
    Vitesse 19.15%
    Draw 19.25%
AjaxDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 61.6%
1-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.25%
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 19.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Almere City 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Volendam
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-2 Ajax
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brighton 2-0 Ajax
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Vitesse 1-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 5-1 Vitesse
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Friday, October 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 4-0 Vitesse
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Excelsior
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, October 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie


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