With just one point separating the two sides, we expect Saturday's to produce a close-fought contest, and we think the two sides will play out a draw, especially as six of their last seven head-to-head meetings have finished all square.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
1.09) 
-1.11) 
