We said: Getafe 1-1 Alaves
This match has a draw written all over it, which is a result that would suit Getafe more than Alaves. There has not actually been a winner in this particular fixture since January 2019, with the last five matches finishing level, and we are predicting a tight contest to finish 1-1.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
