Real Sociedad, on paper at least, are the favourites for this match, but Getafe have only lost three of their 15 home league matches this season. It would not be a surprise to see an away win on Sunday, but we are expecting Getafe to be good enough to secure a share of the spoils in this clash.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.05) 
0.22) 
