Almeria have been electric at home of late, and should have enough attacking firepower to break down a Getafe side who will likely sit deep and look to absorb pressure before hitting on the break.
The visitors have been extremely efficient on the road, however, and we are backing them to grind out another result in another low-possession smash-and-grab.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almeria in this match.
-0.37) 
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