Getafe were impressive in their draw with Athletic Bilbao last time out, and they recorded a 2-0 win over Celta in Vigo last season. We are finding it difficult to back an away victory here but believe that Getafe will have enough to secure a share of the spoils on Monday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.77) 
-0.36) 
