This has the potential to be a tricky contest for Real Madrid, especially off the back of a Champions League game on Wednesday night. Getafe certainly have the tools to harm Los Blancos, but we are backing Ancelotti's side to secure all three points courtesy of a narrow success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.38%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
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