SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Eibar |
| 34.53% | 29.27% | 36.2% |
| Both teams to score 44.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.23% | 62.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.7% | 82.3% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% | 34.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.15% | 70.85% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% | 33.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.37% | 69.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.52% | 1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.19% |
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