Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
