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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Mar 10, 2021 at 6pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
AB

Atletico
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
45%27.21%27.79%
Both teams to score 47.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64%57.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82%78.18%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6%25.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79%60.21%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75%36.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96%73.04%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 45%
    Athletic Bilbao 27.79%
    Draw 27.21%
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.62%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 45%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.21%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 9.34%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 27.79%

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