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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
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Athletic Bilbao
5 - 1
Getafe

Garcia (12', 61'), Alvarez (50'), Berenguer (75'), de Marcos (82')
Nunez (9'), Garcia (17'), Garcia (40'), Vencedor (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cucurella (1')
Maksimovic (8'), Mata (50'), Etxeita (57'), Dakonam (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawGetafe
29.25%29.58%41.17%
Both teams to score 42.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.35%64.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.36%83.64%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9%39.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18%75.82%
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04%30.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74%67.26%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 29.24%
    Getafe 41.17%
    Draw 29.57%
Athletic BilbaoDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 12.1%
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 14.19%
0-2 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-3 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.17%

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