Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 10.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.27%) and 0-3 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
