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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 31, 2020 at 1pm UK
San Mames
RS

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Real Sociedad


Vencedor (23'), Berchiche (55'), Nunez (62'), Martinez (81'), Capa (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Portu (5')
Guevara (8'), Barrenetxea (21'), Merino (39'), Zubeldia (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
31%28.52%40.48%
Both teams to score 45.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.24%60.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.19%80.81%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4%35.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63%72.37%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59%29.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59%65.41%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 30.99%
    Real Sociedad 40.48%
    Draw 28.52%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.35%
3-0 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.99%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 12.81%
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-2 @ 7.84%
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1.01%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 40.48%

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