Barcelona
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Messi (20'), Griezmann (75')
de Jong (47'), Alba (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alba (49' og.)
Garcia (32'), Alvarez (39'), Garcia Toral (39'), Capa (77')

Preview

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 14.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
66.42%	18.7%	14.89%

Both teams to score 55.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.82%

37.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.61%

59.39%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.61%

10.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.08%

33.92%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.28%

37.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.51%

74.49%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 66.41%

Athletic Bilbao 14.89%

Draw 18.7%

Barcelona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-0 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-0 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.9% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.83% Total : 66.41%	1-1 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.78% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.7%	1-2 @ 4.22% 0-1 @ 3.82% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.06% Total : 14.89%