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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 9, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
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Granada
0 - 4
Barcelona


Soldado (45'), Suarez (73')
Vallejo (78')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Griezmann (12', 63'), Messi (35', 42')
Mingueza (49'), Busquets (82'), Alba (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-3 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawBarcelona
10.58%16.55%72.87%
Both teams to score 50.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62%38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.73%60.26%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.01%44.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.07%80.92%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.93%9.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.17%30.82%
Score Analysis
    Granada 10.58%
    Barcelona 72.87%
    Draw 16.55%
GranadaDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 3.26%
2-1 @ 3.12%
2-0 @ 1.3%
3-2 @ 1%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 10.58%
1-1 @ 7.82%
0-0 @ 4.08%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 16.55%
0-2 @ 11.75%
0-1 @ 9.79%
0-3 @ 9.41%
1-2 @ 9.39%
1-3 @ 7.52%
0-4 @ 5.65%
1-4 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 3%
0-5 @ 2.71%
1-5 @ 2.17%
2-4 @ 1.8%
0-6 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 72.87%

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