Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 7.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 3-0 (11.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
