Osasuna are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Barcelona, but we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a routine victory for the league leaders, who are getting closer and closer to being confirmed as champions for the 2022-23 campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.44%) and 3-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
-0.5) 
0.36) 
