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Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Spotify Camp Nou
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Barcelona
0 - 4
Real Madrid


Roberto (10'), Xavi (16'), Gavi (26'), Garcia (67'), Torres (76'), Araujo (84'), Balde (86'), Fati (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junior (45+1'), Benzema (50', 58' pen., 80')
Junior (26'), Carvajal (71'), Alaba (86'), Militao (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
50.62% (2.396 2.4) 23.72% (-0.433 -0.43) 25.66% (-1.959 -1.96)
Both teams to score 56.59% (-0.295 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.411 0.41)44.74% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.393 0.39)67.1% (-0.39 -0.39)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (1.094 1.09)17.73% (-1.091 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.59% (1.854 1.85)48.41% (-1.851 -1.85)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-1.288 -1.29)31.22% (1.291 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-1.525 -1.53)67.56% (1.528 1.53)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 50.62%
    Real Madrid 25.66%
    Draw 23.72%
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.164 0.16)
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.168 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.426 0.43)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.283 0.28)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.402 0.4)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.201 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.239 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.62%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.357 -0.36)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.352 -0.35)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.348 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.192 -0.19)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 25.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Elche 0-4 Barcelona
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Barcelona
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, March 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, March 2 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Barcelona
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 6-0 Valladolid
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Espanyol
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 0-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, March 2 at 8pm in Copa del Rey


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