Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
