SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Valencia |
67.49% ( -0.36) | 19.09% ( 0.15) | 13.42% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.66% ( -0.18) | 42.34% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.25% ( -0.18) | 64.75% ( 0.18) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.42% ( -0.15) | 11.58% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.46% ( -0.32) | 36.54% ( 0.32) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.94% ( 0.21) | 43.06% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.66% ( 0.18) | 79.34% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Valencia |
| 2-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 67.48% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.41% Total : 13.42% |
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