SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Barcelona |
26.72% ( -0.68) | 25.02% ( 0.35) | 48.25% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% ( -1.94) | 49.5% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.47% ( -1.76) | 71.53% ( 1.76) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( -1.55) | 32.9% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( -1.76) | 69.47% ( 1.76) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.64) | 20.54% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( -1.02) | 53.05% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.72% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.25% |
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