Valencia are yet to win on their travels in La Liga this season, but they have picked up three draws, and we fancy Los Che to claim a point here; Sevilla will have home advantage, but they have only scored eight times at Estadio Ramon in the league this term, and a low-scoring draw looks to be the most likely outcome on Saturday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 35.43%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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