Barcelona will be determined to return to winning ways in the league, and the result against Real Madrid would have boosted confidence in the camp. Valencia are also in need of the points, but we are finding it very difficult to back anything other than a comfortable home success this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 3-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
1.22) 
-0.4) 
