Real Betis have played out 1-1 draws in four of their last five league matches, and we are predicting the same scoreline in this game. Osasuna appear to have turned a corner this month, and Real Betis will not have had much preparation time for the contest, so we are expecting the points to be shared here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
0.22) 
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