SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
29.49% ( 0.47) | 27.17% ( 0.21) | 43.34% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 48.63% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.55% ( -0.57) | 56.45% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% ( -0.47) | 77.45% ( 0.46) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( 0.06) | 34.43% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.86% ( 0.06) | 71.14% ( -0.06) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.61) | 25.82% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( -0.83) | 60.79% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.33% |
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